Tech Narrative Weekly #11 (Feb 2026, Week 1): A Week Without a New Story That Marked a Turning Point

2026-02-09T13:13:52+08:00February 9th, 2026|Categories: Future Scenarios and Design, Global Business Dynamics|Tags: , , , , |

Key Events of the Week: What Happened In the first week of February 2026, discussion across the US technology sector showed a clear moment of convergence. Market attention was briefly pulled toward frontier AI developments, pushing conversations higher in intensity and reviving underlying anxieties about software economics and the role of platforms. This concentration was not simply technological excitement. It resembled a reflexive pause in which the market stepped back to reexamine assumptions that had

AI Is Reshaping the Cost Structure of the Software Industry

2026-02-05T16:24:39+08:00February 5th, 2026|Categories: Featured Notes, Global Business Dynamics, Strategic Tech and Market Signals|Tags: , , , , , , |

Executive Summary From Microsoft to Google, senior executives have increasingly centered their earnings discussions on token efficiency, inference costs, and overall system utilization. This shift in language points to a deeper structural change. As software usage itself begins to incur meaningful costs, the long-held SaaS assumption that higher usage naturally leads to higher margins no longer holds universally. For software companies that lack scale, bargaining power over compute resources, or structural cost advantages, heavy users

Tech Narrative Weekly #10 (Jan 2026, Week 5): The Market Is No Longer Looking for New Stories

2026-02-02T12:39:23+08:00February 2nd, 2026|Categories: Future Scenarios and Design, Global Business Dynamics|Tags: , , , , |

Key Events of the Week: What Happened As the US tech sector moved into the fifth week of January 2026, the conversation did not show a new directional shift. Instead, it reflected a clearer phase of confirmation. The market has begun to repeatedly test its judgments within the same underlying question framework. Technological progress continues, and investment in AI has not slowed. What has changed is the focus of attention. Rather than rushing to determine

In the Age of AI Inference, a Narrative Shift Is Taking Shape

2026-02-02T12:20:29+08:00January 29th, 2026|Categories: Featured Notes, Global Business Dynamics, Strategic Tech and Market Signals|Tags: , , , , , , |

Executive Summary The rapid growth of generative AI has led the market, over the past two years, to focus on memory supply and storage capacity. As AI systems move decisively into an inference-driven phase, however, the fundamental bottlenecks facing infrastructure are beginning to shift. In inference environments, system costs are no longer determined primarily by model size or total data volume. Instead, they are shaped by how contextual states persist during computation. When large volumes

Tech Narrative Weekly #9 (Jan 2026, Week 4): The Market Is Beginning to Decide Who Will Remain

2026-01-25T20:01:54+08:00January 25th, 2026|Categories: Future Scenarios and Design, Global Business Dynamics|Tags: , , , , |

Key Events of the Week: What Happened Last week, during the fourth week of January 2026, the focus of discussion in the US technology sector continued to narrow, gradually gradually forming a clearer basis for judgment. For several weeks in a row, the market has returned to the same underlying question. Technical leadership and model progress remain part of the conversation, but they are no longer the central issue. In this round of structural change,

Bringing Creation Back to the System Layer: How Apple Is Reframing the Boundaries of Content Governance

2026-01-21T17:50:08+08:00January 21st, 2026|Categories: Featured Notes, Global Business Dynamics, Strategic Tech and Market Signals|Tags: , , , , , |

Executive Summary Apple has recently deepened the integration of creative tools and generative capabilities into its operating system, prompting market speculation about whether the company is moving into direct competition with Adobe. Yet viewing this shift purely through the lens of creative software rivalry risks missing the structural transformation now underway. At its core, Apple’s move is not about enhancing the performance of individual tools. It is about relocating the act of creation itself to

Tech Narrative Weekly #8 (Jan 2026, Week 3): Technology Narratives Are Moving From Growth Imagination to Long Term Sustainability

2026-01-19T10:52:48+08:00January 19th, 2026|Categories: Future Scenarios and Design, Global Business Dynamics|Tags: , , , , |

Key Events of the Week: What Happened Last week, during the third week of January 2026, the focus of discussion within the US technology sector shifted in a noticeable way. Market attention was no longer centered solely on which new products companies had released or how much model performance had improved. Instead, the conversation began to move toward a different level. The central question became which technological capabilities were being incorporated into long term national,

Before the Power Question, We Still Do Not Fully Understand How AI Will Be Used

2026-01-16T16:19:44+08:00January 16th, 2026|Categories: Strategic Tech and Market Signals|Tags: , , , , , |

Executive Summary In the second half of 2025, the conversation around AI began to shift away from model capabilities and application competition toward concerns about power and infrastructure. As a result, the idea that AI growth will be constrained by electricity has quickly taken hold as a narrative that feels both reasonable and intuitive. However, from the perspective of on the ground deployment and operations, as well as from the upstream supply side, the most

How Does a Company’s Narrative Gain Market Credibility

2026-01-15T11:39:54+08:00January 15th, 2026|Categories: Featured Notes, Strategic Tech and Market Signals|Tags: , |

Executive Summary A common intuition in market discussions is that a company’s narrative succeeds as long as its financial performance meets market expectations, and management communicates convincingly, or its products align with the right trends. In practice, however, whether a narrative is accepted by the market is rarely determined by the company alone. For a narrative to have real impact, it must first enter a state in which the market can act on it. Understanding

Tech Narrative Weekly #7 (Jan 2026, Week 2): The AI Narrative Has Not Shifted, but Clear Boundaries Are Beginning to Emerge

2026-01-12T12:50:10+08:00January 12th, 2026|Categories: Future Scenarios and Design, Global Business Dynamics|Tags: , , , , |

Key Events of the Week: What Happened Last week, the second week of January 2026, the US technology sector saw no single event powerful enough to redefine market direction. Even as CES 2026 opened on January 6 and ran through January 9, discussion largely focused on extensions of existing technologies and strategies rather than any new narrative shift. Across the show and related public appearances, many technology companies shared updates on their AI products and

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